Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.045651 0.053721 0.062748 0.073585 0.086237 0.100536 0.117918
2025-07-20 0.033295 0.043771 0.056783 0.074104 0.096532 0.124566 0.162254
2025-07-27 0.026170 0.037486 0.052726 0.074690 0.105472 0.147017 0.207295
2025-08-03 0.021634 0.033269 0.050021 0.075793 0.114332 0.169704 0.255187
2025-08-10 0.018683 0.030552 0.048657 0.078123 0.124708 0.195322 0.310264
2025-08-17 0.015346 0.026542 0.044540 0.075363 0.126613 0.208141 0.347324
2025-08-24 0.013208 0.024039 0.042297 0.075049 0.132040 0.226730 0.395461
2025-08-31 0.011365 0.021691 0.039890 0.073969 0.135824 0.242815 0.441162
2025-09-07 0.010236 0.020416 0.039108 0.075526 0.144244 0.267577 0.504669
2025-09-14 0.008979 0.018681 0.037210 0.074705 0.148128 0.284622 0.556219
2025-09-21 0.007793 0.016886 0.034918 0.072759 0.149529 0.297117 0.600599
2025-09-28 0.006744 0.015197 0.032578 0.070348 0.149621 0.306991 0.640907
2025-10-05 0.006188 0.014485 0.032155 0.071874 0.158020 0.334418 0.720206
2025-10-12 0.005605 0.013621 0.031293 0.072359 0.164338 0.358479 0.795807
2025-10-19 0.005101 0.012854 0.030525 0.072927 0.170886 0.383757 0.877078
2025-10-26 0.004693 0.012244 0.030020 0.074003 0.178678 0.412575 0.969523
2025-11-02 0.004404 0.011882 0.030032 0.076279 0.189502 0.449296 1.084061
2025-11-09 0.003859 0.010775 0.028097 0.073583 0.188209 0.458440 1.136279
2025-11-16 0.003509 0.010120 0.027181 0.073277 0.192658 0.481382 1.223776
2025-11-23 0.003162 0.009416 0.026038 0.072221 0.195082 0.499752 1.302378
2025-11-30 0.002967 0.009108 0.025886 0.073742 0.204301 0.535745 1.428944
2025-12-07 0.002695 0.008531 0.024924 0.072941 0.207299 0.556528 1.519354
2025-12-14 0.002412 0.007869 0.023633 0.071039 0.207071 0.569018 1.589708